The Week

Who correctly predicted the Tea Party's rise?

Tea Party activists arrive with signs and folding chairs at the former McClellan Air Force Base site before the start of the "United to the Finish" ga AP – Tea Party activists arrive with signs and folding chairs at the former McClellan Air Force Base site …

New York – A look back at what commentators got right (and wrong) about the anti-government movement back when it first came on the scene in 2009

When the Tea Party movement coalesced in early 2009, political observers weren't sure how seriously to take it. While some right-leaning pundits thought (or hoped) it would develop into the potent political force it is today, other commentators dismissed the movement as a flash-in-the-pan — a retread of Ron Paul's libertarian presidential campaign, which sounded similar themes of Revolutionary-era defiance but stalled as a fringe effort. Here's a look back at some of the more (or less) prescient forecasts:

The Tea Party will impact the next two elections
Pundit:
Glenn Reynolds in The Wall Street Journal (April 15, 2009) correctly predicted that the Tea Party, despite its organizers' inexperience, was tapping into a deeply rooted "general disgust" that had "drawn a lot of people off the sidelines" and would continue to do so.
Key quote: "Will these flash crowds be a flash in the pan? It's possible that people who demonstrate today will find that experience cathartic enough — or exhausting enough — that that will be it. But it's more likely that the tea-party movement will have an impact on the 2010 and 2012 elections, and perhaps beyond."

It's the same old GOP rhetoric, and Obama can deflect it
Pundit:
Joe Conason in RealClearPolitics (April 16, 2009) incorrectly dismissed the Tea Party's talking points as tired propaganda that would have little effect on Barack Obama's approval ratings (then at 66 percent).
Key quote: "Buzzing beneath the furious rants of the tea-party protests, it is not hard to hear the same old right-wing rhetoric about taxes and deficits and the same old schemes to cut the taxes for the wealthiest citizens, deregulate the economy and despoil the environment. The difference...[is that now] we have suffered the results of those policies in practice and reject them...."

The establishment will distance itself
Pundit:
David Weigel in The Washington Independent, (July 3, 2009) concluded, prematurely, that the GOP would safely be able to ignore the Tea Party.
Key quote: "In the run-up to the first round of Tea Parties, conservative activists were aided enormously by coverage from Fox News and the endorsements of many Republican stars.... But the collaboration between the official Republican establishment and the Tea Parties has not lasted into June. The RNC has no plans to get involved with any Tea Parties...."

The Tea Party might become "extremist"
Pundit: David Neiwert in Crooks and Liars (July 29, 2009) saw ominous signs in the behavior of Tea Party activists at a St. Louis townhall on health reform hosted by Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) and asked whether the movement was "morphing" into "street theater for the right," a relevant question given the Tea Party's subsequent health-care-related protests.
Key quote: "More disturbing, I thought, was the way the teabaggers used their numbers to shout down their opposition and generally intimidate the town-hall nature of the forum. What was supposed to have been an open discussion of the issues instead became a pushy shout-fest. That's not how democracy works."

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135 Comments

  • 0 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment
    Dan 6 hours ago Report Abuse
    Thomas Jefferson
  • 1 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 2 users disliked this comment
    Sandra B 8 hours ago Report Abuse
    Key quote: "Buzzing beneath the furious rants of the tea-party protests, it is not hard to hear the same old right-wing rhetoric about taxes and deficits and the same old schemes to cut the taxes for the wealthiest citizens, deregulate the economy and despoil the environment. The difference...[is that now] we have suffered the results of those policies in practice and reject them...."
    The TP did'nt have the sense to reject them!
  • 2 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment
    abel 10 hours ago Report Abuse
    The TP is tired of over-government, endless spending of their tax dollars; tired of bailing out the auto industry; tired of bailing out the banking industry; tired of govenment intrusion into private industry; tired of unelected czars running OUR government [of the people, by the people and for the people]; tired of a congress that has not accomplished any meaningful legislation, e.g., immingration, tax reform to stimulate investment in the private sector that creates jobs [for be it known unto you that govenments create no jobs]; tired of an executive and legistaive branch of OUR govenment that have not addressed the issue of energy in a meaningful and positive manner; tired of having meaningless programs jammed down their throats, e.g., healthcare; tired of liberals trying to be politically correct and changing our root values. I don't think the TP is anti-government; the TP is for a smaller, leaner, more effective and responsive govenment representation. WE pay top money to our elected officials. WE EXPECT top performance. In private industry, you don't perform, you are fired. In sports, you don't win games, you get rid of the coach, you replace players.
  • 0 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 2 users disliked this comment
    PizzaChit 11 hours ago Report Abuse
    I thank God for FNC every day.
  • 2 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 4 users disliked this comment
    bb 12 hours ago Report Abuse
    Where were the tea party people when president Bush WASTED I say SQUANDERED OVER ONE TRILLION dollars on illegal war.We have Americans that go hungry and homeless ,do you know what one trillion could have done for our people and schools.Some say they want to take their country back, i often wonder from whome.I did not vote for Obama but will do so in 2012,the tea baggers just cannot stand that our president is not white, they hate Mexicans and muslims too,they are the most racial group of people.The president of United States is a Harvard Law school graduate ,tell me tea baggers what qualifactions does Palin and Odonnell have, and LEVEL OF EDUCATION to make decision for my country .When you have some one that is educated and not a bigot then i may consider how to vote.I am sad to see folks that would not stand up for what is right,our forefathers must be rolling in their graves.President Lincoln must be quite disappointed .
  • 1 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 3 users disliked this comment
    Jim1648 13 hours ago Report Abuse
    Will they caucus with the Republicans or do their own thing? The Tea Party is a sign of Republican disintegration, and so it will last for a while. That does not mean that it is permanent however.
  • 2 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 1 users disliked this comment
    Flachlander 14 hours ago Report Abuse
    The Tea Party will not be effective until its followers coalesce around a strong leader or leaders who can articulate its views effectively enough to sway public opinion away from the failed two-party system that has always screwed the American public. And even then it may fail, because of big money(mainly Jewish) control of the media, and dirty tricks by our clandestine organizations that have without a doubt infiltrated it, just as they have infiltrated organizations based on violent means of change.
  • 2 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 2 users disliked this comment
    davem 16 hours ago Report Abuse
    1984
  • 4 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 8 users disliked this comment
    fast eddie 18 hours ago Report Abuse
    anti-government movement huh?
    i hated george bush, but after he seetled into the presidency i lightened up. and i certainly didn't run around my neighborhood shouting anti-government fervor like the teaparty folk. the teapartiers are a motley crew of big money folk...sheep...and outright racists. but even given this, their treasonous attitudes are both sickening, and un-american.
  • 2 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment
    Peter Griffin 19 hours ago Report Abuse
    not the outright leftist man of discerning skin tone. Who?

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