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The Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

National Climatic Data Center


1-3 February 2011
1-3 February 2011

Overview

Did You Know?

Regional Snowfall Impact Scale (ReSIS)

The National Climatic Data Center is producing a new regional snowfall index; the Regional Snowfall Impact Scale (ReSIS). Like the Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS), ReSIS uses snowfall and population to create an index that puts snowstorms and their societal impacts into historical perspective. However ReSIS only uses snowfall and population information within a particular region (collection of states) to calculate an index. NESIS uses snowfall and population information from the eastern two thirds of the United States and is therefore a quasi-national index. It is called Northeast" because some of the constants in the algorithm used to calculate NESIS are specifically calibrated to the northeast; a region with abundant snowfall and a large population. The constants in the ReSIS algorithms are specific to the region in which an index is being calculated. Therefore ReSIS is a true regional index.

While the Fujita and Saffir-Simpson Scales characterize tornadoes and hurricanes respectively, there is no widely used scale to classify snowstorms. The Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS) developed by Paul Kocin and Louis Uccellini of the National Weather Service (Kocin and Uccellini, 2004) characterizes and ranks high-impact Northeast snowstorms. These storms have large areas of 10 inch snowfall accumulations and greater. NESIS has five categories: Extreme, Crippling, Major, Significant, and Notable. The index differs from other meteorological indices in that it uses population information in addition to meteorological measurements. Thus NESIS gives an indication of a storm's societal impacts. This scale was developed because of the impact Northeast snowstorms can have on the rest of the country in terms of transportation and economic impact.

NESIS scores are a function of the area affected by the snowstorm, the amount of snow, and the number of people living in the path of the storm. The diagram below illustrates how NESIS values are calculated within a geographical information system (GIS). The aerial distribution of snowfall and population information are combined in an equation that calculates a NESIS score which varies from around one for smaller storms to over ten for extreme storms. The raw score is then converted into one of the five NESIS categories. The largest NESIS values result from storms producing heavy snowfall over large areas that include major metropolitan centers. For details on how NESIS scores are calculated at the National Climatic Data Center, see Squires and Lawrimore (2006).

NESIS Calculations

Table 1: NESIS categories, their corresponding NESIS values, and a descriptive adjective:

CategoryNESIS ValueDescription
11—2.499Notable
22.5—3.99Significant
34—5.99Major
46—9.99Crippling
510.0+Extreme

Table 2: Ranks 44 high-impact snowstorms that affected the Northeast urban corridor.

Click on hyperlinked dates for snowfall map. Sort by NESIS rank or storm date.

Rank Dates NESIS Category Description
44 25-26 January 1987 1.19 1 Notable
43 2-4 February 1995 1.43 1 Notable
42 22-23 February 1987 1.46 1 Notable
41 1-3 March 2009 1.59 1 Notable
40 18-19 March 1956 1.87 1 Notable
39 26-27 January 2011 (preliminary) 2.17 1 Notable
38 31 March - 1 April 1997 2.29 1 Notable
37 30-31 December 2000 2.37 1 Notable
36 24-26 January 2000 2.52 2 Significant
35 15-18 March 2007 2.54 2 Significant
34 6-7 April 1982 3.35 2 Significant
33 5-8 February 1967 3.50 2 Significant
32 18-21 March 1958 3.51 2 Significant
31 8-10 February 1969 3.51 2 Significant
30 23-25 December 1966 3.81 2 Significant
29 18-21 December 2009 3.99 2 Significant
28 18-21 January 1961 4.04 3 Major
26 12-13 February 2006 4.10 3 Major
27 9-11 February 2010 4.10 3 Major
25 22-28 February 1969 4.29 3 Major
24 4-7 February 2010 4.38 3 Major
23 11-13 December 1960 4.53 3 Major
22 17-19 February 1979 4.77 3 Major
21 18-20 February 1972 4.77 3 Major
20 24-28 December 2010 (preliminary) 4.92 3 Major
19 1-3 February 2011 (preliminary) 5.30 3 Major
18 9-13 January 2011 (preliminary) 5.31 3 Major
17 8-12 February 1994 5.39 3 Major
16 21-23 January 1987 5.40 3 Major
15 23-28 February 2010 5.46 3 Major
14 12-15 February 2007 5.63 3 Major
13 5-7 February 1978 5.78 3 Major
12 29-31 January 1966 5.93 3 Major
10 10-12 February 1983 6.25 4 Crippling
11 14-17 February 1958 6.25 4 Crippling
9 25-28 December 1969 6.29 4 Crippling
8 19-21 January 1978 6.53 4 Crippling
7 21-24 January 2005 6.80 4 Crippling
6 11-14 January 1964 6.91 4 Crippling
5 2-5 February 1961 7.06 4 Crippling
4 15-18 February 2003 7.50 4 Crippling
3 2-5 March 1960 8.77 4 Crippling
2 6-8 January 1996 11.78 5 Extreme
1 12-14 March 1993 13.20 5 Extreme

References:

Kocin, P. J. and L. W. Uccellini, 2004: A Snowfall Impact Scale Derived From Northeast Storm Snowfall Distributions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 177-194

Squires, M. F. and J. H. Lawrimore, 2006: Development of an Operational Snowfall Impact Scale. 22nd IIPS, Atlanta, GA.


Questions?

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