Anticipating criminal behavior: using the narrative in crime related data
Documentary and filmmaker Peter de Kock has developed a new and innovative scenario model by which narratives in data can be detected. This model can help agencies to anticipate criminal behavior. This approach emphasizes the discovery of narratives in crime-related data.In the first decade of this century, the focus of law enforcement agencies has shifted from the prosecuting crime to anticipating crime. In the creative industry, a narrative is generated by a scenario. A scenario describes the interactions between the characters, and includes information about behavior, goals, motivations, modi operandi, and resistances that have to be overcome. Furthermore, a creative scenario is composed by a limited number of scenario components.
However, while narratives are at the mainstay of entertainment, law, and politics, a scientific method by which narratives can be created – and subsequently be used to anticipate criminal behavior -, still has to be established.
The model introduces the ESC12, the twelve Elementary Scenario Components by which every conceivable narrative can be created. Moreover a model is presented that may support law-enforcement agencies to effectively anticipate criminal behavior.
Peter A. de Kock (Maastricht, 1967), graduated as filmmaker from the Film Academy of the Amsterdam School of the Arts in 1994. After receiving a Master degree in 2009 in Criminal Investigation, he was offered a position as team leader of a overt section of the Royal and Diplomatic Protection Service, where he introduced creative scenarios to anticipate (terrorist attacks).
For the press:
Peter de Kock received his doctorate the 10th September. Title dissertation: Anticipating Criminal Behaviour. Using the narrative in crime-related data. Promotores: prof. dr. H.J. van den Herik, prof. dr. ir. J.C. Scholtes. Peter de Kock can be reached peter@dekock.pe and 0031 6-53251118.
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