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    Pat Forde

    At a loss: Nerlens Noel's fluke knee injury casts pall over promising talent's basketball career

    GAINESVILLE, Fla. – The screams were audible on press row.

    Nerlens Noel, the projected first pick in the 2013 NBA Draft and the indisputable best player for the Kentucky Wildcats, was in agony beneath the basket. He clutched at his left knee, everything suddenly and painfully in doubt – for him and for his team. 

    Nerlens Noel grimaces after his injury on Tuesday. (AP)That jarring development overshadowed Florida's 69-52 whipping of Kentucky. When Noel went down, the outcome of the game – which was already decided – became secondary.

    Really, the outcome of Kentucky's season is secondary, although the injury – a torn left ACL that was confirmed by Kentucky on Wednesday and will require six to eight months of recovery time – increases the chances of the 17-7 Wildcats missing the NCAA tournament. The greater issue is Noel's future, and the way it is put at risk by a system that forced him to play college ball for a year instead of going straight into the NBA draft.

    Noel may have gotten hurt in 2013 no matter where he was playing, but at least he would be under contract and well-compensated by whatever NBA team would have drafted him in the first round last June.

    Instead, he wound up playing for scholarship money at Kentucky. And while that is nothing to sneeze at, Noel's presence on campus represents restraint of trade and a bastardization of what college is supposed to be.

    [Watch: North Carolina's fading tourney chances]

    He wants to be a pro basketball player. Let him be a pro basketball player without the charade of college delaying it. Unfortunately, that was not an easy option.

    If this injury compromises Noel's draft status, it's on David Stern and his league's minimum age requirement.

    In addition to the audible pain under the basket, Noel did not put any weight on his leg and was carried off the court by teammates Archie Goodwin and Julius Mays. The Florida crowd, which had been hushed as he writhed on the floor, gave him a standing ovation.

    "It looked ugly," Kentucky coach John Calipari said, later adding, "I'm physically sick right now for him."

    Florida's Patric Young, who wound up beneath the basket with Noel, told the Palm Beach Post: "His leg was wobbly, knee looked dislocated. It was gruesome. I don't want to think about it." 

    John Calipari reacts during Kentucky's loss to Florida. (AP)No college athlete with a viable pro future wants to think about it. Yet it's the risk they play with every game.

    If it was Noel's final play as a collegian, it was an appropriate one: he flew in and swatted away a Mike Rosario layup with his left hand. Noel is the best shot-blocker in America, and his effort – in addition to his startling athleticism – has been a big reason why.

    "I admire the way he plays and I admire his energy," Florida coach Billy Donovan said. "The injury came from a hustle play, and he's a hustle-play guy. I think everyone admires, in this league, the way he plays the game."

    [Also: Oklahoma loses freshman Buddy Hield with fractured foot]

    For long stretches Tuesday, Noel was the only Wildcat playing with the fearlessness and aggressiveness required to beat No. 7 Florida on its home court.

    For the most part, the experienced Gators had their way with the callow Cats. Donovan's guards dominated Calipari's, and frontcourt players Young, Erik Murphy and Casey Prather made all the right plays on both ends of the court.

    Kentucky looked lost for much of the game.

    "We just played soft," Mays said. "Scared."

    What's truly scary is Kentucky going forward without Noel. This is not a great team by any measurement, and its NCAA tournament position is tenuous. With the team's leader in rebounding, blocked shots, steals and energy gone, there may not be an NCAA berth.

    The Wildcats are in possession of just one RPI Top 50 win, over fading Mississippi. There are a lot of quality losses, but also a home upset at the hands of mediocre-at-best Texas A&M.;

    Most armchair bracketologists have Kentucky in the range of a No. 9 or 10 seed at this point. And that seeding was obviously based on having Noel in the lineup for the NCAA tourney.

    Without him, more losses are likely, even in a wretched SEC. There is a rematch with Florida on March 9 in Lexington and a home game against Missouri on Feb. 23. After that, every opponent is outside the current RPI Top 50, but still potentially problematic. That starts with a Saturday game in Knoxville against Tennessee. Even the 12-10 Volunteers loom as a difficult opponent.

    "He's a vital part of our team," forward Kyle Wiltjer said. "So we hope for the best."

    [Also: Kansas pounds Kansas State and reasserts itself as Big 12 favorite]

    Everyone hopes Noel will be OK. Everyone hopes that his future is not compromised.

    Because the alternative stinks. It would be another indictment of the system if Noel's draft status and earning potential crumpled along with him beneath a basket in Gainesville, while playing for scholarship money.

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    Pat Forde

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    Pat Forde is Yahoo! Sports’ national college columnist. He is an award-winning writer, author and commentator with 25 years experience in newspapers and online.

    2,692 comments

    • Jerky Boy  •  3 days ago
      I mean, I hate David Stern as much as the next guy, but to blame the guy's awful injury and (as implied) the waste of the rest of his life on Stern is ridiculous. Pretty pathetic slant. Just talk about what an awful ordeal it is for Noel personally, and a tough break for Kentucky and move on...
      • Jay Cathcart 2 days 12 hours ago
        Greg that doesn't make sense they obiviously aren't going to give up doing what they love because of an awful rule. But the rule should never be in place. If your gonna force them to go to college make them go for the amount of time it takes to get a bachlors if your not gonna make them go that long and your only making them go 1 year what good does that do? If they are going to leave after a year they are going to leave after a year. Why force the kid to go a year and risk getting an injury and screwing up their future. Do you think think the University of Kentucky is gonna still carry this kid if he can't play ball anymore? So they forced the kid who would have been a top 3 draft pick, to play a year and now his career may be over forever and if he can never play ball again how exactly is he suppose to pay for those other 3 years of college?
    • Thomas  •  2 days 17 hours ago
      i like the rule. shoud be at least two years so these guys are broke 2 years out of the pros.
    • Wes H  •  2 days 23 hours ago
      For every Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, and Kevin Garnett, there is a Jermaine O'Neal that took a long time to develop, and a bunch of guys that never developed: Korleone Young, Leon Smith, Jonathan Bender, Kwame Brown, DeSagana Diop, Ndudi Ebi, Travis Outlaw, James Lang, Shaun Livingston, Dorell Wright, JR Smith, Sebastian Telfair, Robert Swift, Louis Williams, Adray Blatche, Rickey Sanchez, Martell Webster, Gerald Green, Amir Johnson and on and on.

      Who knows what these guys would have done in the NBA with a season or two of college coaching and conditioning.
    • Robert  •  1 day 17 hours ago
      If you want to change things, Forde, start a campaign for the baseball-style eligibility rules. You can go pro straight out of high school, but if you choose to go to college, it's a 3 year commitment (if you go to a JC it's only a 2 year commitment). Anyone who falls in the cracks can go overseas for a couple of years.
    • George  •  2 days 19 hours ago
      Back in the day, MLB player Kevin Mitchell injured himself by eating an over-microwaved donut. Injuries happen to everyone...unfortunately it happened on the basketball court for Noel. Could've happened anywhere, anytime. That's life
    • Barry  •  3 days ago
      ill type this REALLY REALLY SLOW

      Education is greater than SPORTS. The faster we as a society and a country figure this out, the faster we will catch up with the rest of the world that is laughing at how stupid and uneducated we have become in the last 30 years
    • Alex Soul  •  2 days 14 hours ago
      I think its a good rule change. Many of these hyped up players are never as good as promised and very few actually make it directly from high school. Extra time gives these guys a chance to grow, mature and ofcourse add to their skill set. I see nothing wrong with increasing the age limit by 1 year.
    • serf_tide  •  2 days 14 hours ago
      Things that are one in a million shouldn't be setting the agenda. If the NBA is convinced that the one and done is the best for the league, then that is what they should do.
    • rj  •  2 days 20 hours ago
      how many other players who were projected to become high first round picks suffered devastating knee injuries their freshman year? what happened to noel is very sad but it is not the norm I love the nba rule and really I wish it were two years instead of one.... besides super athletes like lebron majority of high school players are simply not ready to play in the nba and it would take 2-3 years before they were ready to contribute
    • Esteban  •  2 days 16 hours ago
      Don't blame Stearn or the NBA. They have their requirements. He could have sat out a year and not played anywhere, then gone into the draft. It's just an unfortunate situation.