STRATFOR: "USA AND RUSSIA USE THE CONFLICT TO STRENGTHEN THEIR POSITIONS IN THE REGION"
"The possibility of restart of the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan for Nagorno Karabakh is becoming greater", announced the experts of Stratfor analytical center, according to "Azatutyun" (Liberty). This time the conflict might be a "casus belli" between USA and Russia.
According to the experts of Stratfor the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is more than a conflict of two states and their disputable territory: USA and Russia use this conflict to strengthen their positions in the region.
After the ceasefire of 1994, only in 2006 Azerbaijan began to see a possibility of change in the conflict with the completion of Baku-Tbilisi-Jeyhan oil pipeline. After it Azerbaijan became not only more and more pro-western, but also began to gain enormous profits.
The president of Azerbaijan decided to spend these profits on the defense sphere.
If military expenses of Azerbaijan were about 175 M dollars in 2004, now it is planned to spend at least 1 billion dollars till 2008.
According to the experts Armenia has recently increased its defense expenses by 20%: from 125 M to 150M: what is evidently incomparable with the defense expenses of Azerbaijan.
The experts mention that Armenia is deprived of flows of profits: though the big Armenian Community in USA makes Armenia one of the biggest recipients of US foreign aid, the neighbors of Armenia - Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey - avoid it economically and politically: leaving little possibility for its trade or development.
Armenia has open relations with Iran. In March, Iran and Armenia opened the Iran-Armenia natural gas pipeline. The pipeline itself is owned by Russia, like most of the Armenia's energetic infrastructures, Stratfor experts note.
- By Aghavni Harutyunian
STRATFOR: "USA AND RUSSIA USE THE CONFLICT TO STRENGTHEN THEIR POSITIONS IN THE REGION"
By Aghavni Harutyunian 3"The possibility of restart of the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan for Nagorno Karabakh is becoming greater", announced the experts of Stratfor analytical center, according to "Azatutyun" (Liberty). ...THE ARMENIAN CAPTIVE WANTS TO GO TO RUSSIA?
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- 0 Hrotists was the 12th month in the old Armenian calendar (July 7 to August 5). The name is derived from the Armenian for fire, because it was the hottest time in the year.
- 1827 Russian forces occupy the castle of Abas-Abad.
- 1829 Occupation of Baberd (Baiburt, Western Armenia).
- 1882 Birth of academician Levon Orbeli in Dzakhkadzor. He died in 1958 in St. Petersburg (Leningrad).
- 1915 A victim of the Genocide, Grigor Zohrab (writer and political figure) was tortured and murdered. He was born in 1861.
- 1921 The Red Army reaches Ghapan.
- 1923 Soviet Azerbaijan`s Revolutionary Committee unilaterally decides to dismember Artsakh to create the Autonomous Region of Nagorno Gharabagh. Red Kurdistan is created to separate this new territory from Armenia (by means of the new Lachin and Kelbajar Districts). The Kurdish entity is abolished in 1930 but the separation is maintained in the Stalin Constitution of 1936.
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