THE
ROVING EYE
That rocky road to Damascus
As they examine the regional chessboard and formidable array of forces
aligned against them, the Iranians must face, simultaneously, superpower
Washington, bomb-happy North Atlantic Treaty Organization members, nuclear
power Israel, all Sunni Arab absolute monarchies, and even Sunni-majority,
secular Turkey. As Tehran sees it, what's going on over Syria is
"humanitarian" cover for a complex anti-Shi'ite and anti-Iran operation. - Pepe
Escobar (Nov 23, '11)
Lieutenant Pike, Li Gang,
and China's Internet dilemma
A video involving a University of California police officer, "Occupy"
protesters and liberal use of a pepper-spray presented a relishing opportunity
for the Chinese Communist Party to point the finger at the hypocrisy of
American hectoring on democracy. The Internet judged the cop mercilessly, just
as netizens poured the people's opprobrium on an errant princeling, the son of
party official Li Gang, on a campus in that cyber-gulag behind the Great
Firewall.
- Peter Lee (Nov 23, '11)
US muscle manifesto for Asia
Making its presence felt at a string of high-level summits and official visits,
the United States this week emphatically restated its commitment to re-engaging
Asia - the Southeast in particular - with diplomatic machinations matched by
ongoing military-to-military charm offensives. China's muted reaction suggests
it's either been taken off guard or is wary of pushing South China Sea
claimants further into Washington's arms.
- Brian McCartan (Nov 23, '11)
US-Myanmar: A convergence of
interests
Unprecedented progress in Myanmar-United States relations is the result of
internal and external stimuli in both countries. While Naypyidaw has finally
realized the importance of countering China's influence to balance its foreign
relations, Washington has abandoned a failed, two-decade old strategy of regime
change. Mutual interests can now overshadow antagonism, but only if reformers
defeat their many opponents.
- David I Steinberg (Nov 23, '11)
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Pakistan's ambassador takes the
fall
Hussain
Haqqani, Pakistan's influential ambassador to the United States, has been
forced out of office over an alleged memo delivered to Washington in which he
is purported to have sought the US's help in preventing a possible coup against
the civilian government in Islamabad. The broader lesson to be learned from
"Memogate" is that the civil-military imbalance in Pakistan remains dangerously
tilted. - Amir Mir (Nov 23, '11)
KORUS of disapproval on the peninsula
While Lee Myung-bak's administration has forced through the Korea-US Free Trade
Agreement, the deal's benefits could be wiped out by financial woes in the US
undermining its ability to back-up Asian allies against Chinese assertiveness.
Meanwhile, North Korean rhetoricians - unused to their country not being the
center of attention - are contradicting recent compromise signals by bragging
about a new reactor.
- Donald Kirk (Nov 23, '11)
Aquino's reform promise
fades
Justice remains elusive for 58 Filipinos killed two years ago in an allegedly
politically motivated massacre in Maguindanao, a province in the southern
Philippines notorious for its violence, with the entrenched position of the
local dynasty linked to those accused of the killings. As the case is bogged
down in technicalities, President Benigno Aquino's promise to stop a pervasive
culture of impunity throughout the country looks increasingly shaky. - Carlos H
Conde (Nov 23, '11)
SPEAKING FREELY
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America pivots toward ASEAN
Barack Obama's presence as the first American president to attend an East Asia
Summit is emblematic of United States attempts to reverse the erosion of its
standing in Southeast Asia, the brightest spot in a darkening world economy. As
it also pivots towards the Association of Southeast Nations' decision to
welcome Myanmar as the group's future chair, the US is closing the diplomatic
distance.
- Donald K Emmerson (Nov 22, '11)
Proposed sale of Taiwan raises no
laughs
A satirical op-ed advising United States President Barack Obama to abandon
military support for Taiwan in exchange for China forgiving US$1.14 trillion of
American debt appears to have roots in reality. While the island is
conspicuously absent from the US's "return to Asia" plans, US liberal circles
have touted the same idea to boost Obama's re-election campaign.
- Jens Kastner (Nov 22, '11)
Japan torn over US-led free-trade pact
Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda's decision to negotiate joining the
United States-led Trans-Pacific Partnership has provoked fierce debate on
whether the free-trade pact suits the national interest. While Noda says it
sets high standards for trade and investment, opponents insist the agreement
will "ruin" the healthcare sector and see Tokyo lose control over key sectors
like agriculture.
- Daniel Leussink (Nov 22, '11)
A burial plot for India's most
wanted terrorist
Persistent media reports putting Dawood Ibrahim, India's most wanted terrorist,
in Karachi are making Pakistan uneasy. While former president Pervez Musharraf
said recently that the prime suspect in the 1993 revenge attack for the
massacre of Muslims in the Gujarat riots is held in high esteem, Pakistan's
establishment denies harboring him. As the trail heats up, the ailing mafia don
could have reason to need a shield from Indian crosshairs - and is reportedly
looking for a burial plot. - Amir Mir (Nov
22, '11)
Turkey is 'biggest winner' of Arab
Spring
Turkey played the "most constructive" role in the Arab Spring, according to a
regional survey, while Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has emerged as the
most admired leader by far among Arabs. President Barack Obama's popularity
slightly rose, but less Arabs see Iran as a nuclear threat and America's
desirability as the world's sole superpower was matched by Pakistan's. - Jim
Lobe (Nov 22, '11)
Karzai skates on thin ice
Afghan President Hamid Karzai has violated a sacrosanct tradition by convening
a loya jirga (grand tribal assembly) to essentially endorse a pact with
the United States for its continued presence in the country after most
foreign troops leave in 2014. With the Taliban repeatedly stating opposition to
such an accord and influential sections of Afghan (non-Taliban) opinion and key
regional powers questioning the move, what does Karzai hope to achieve? - M K
Bhadrakumar (Nov 21, '11)
Ex-inspector rejects IAEA Iran bomb
claim
Former chief weapons inspector for the International Atomic Energy Agency
Robert Kelley has rejected its claim that Iran built a nuclear test chamber,
insisting the supposed vessel could never contain such a high-intensity blast.
His rebuttal tallies with denials from the Russian scientist allegedly involved
and evidence that Vyacheslav Danilenko's work on nanodiamonds wasn't related to
nuclear technology. - Gareth Porter (Nov 21,
'11)
SPENGLER
It might not be an
Asian century after all
Demographics, resistance to democracy and complacency about its visible success
all risk taking the steam out of China's rising trajectory. If Beijing
erroneously concludes from the United States's financial crash that a command
economy is in its interests, and regards America as an enemy rather than as an
unthreatening rival, it will decline. The greatest challenge is not American
strength but American weakness. (Nov 21, '11)
THE ROVING EYE
Exposed: US press 'freedom'
Hypocrisy is writ large over the treatment of Sam Husseini, whose behavior as
an actual journalist with tough questioning of the House of Saud got him
suspended from the National Press Club in Washington. Husseini didn't play by
lap-dog rules that dictate how corporate media should fawn to American allies
and bear teeth at its enemies to keep tidbits dropping from the establishment
table. - Pepe Escobar (Nov 21, '11)
BHP in front line as Marines
take Darwin
China has made clear its likely responses to President Barack Obama and Premier
Julia Gillard's deployment of US Marines to Darwin will involve areas beyond
Australia's US protection - such as changing its sources of minerals and
metals, Australia's principal trade goods. That could be good for Russia, and
not beneficial for BHP. - John Helmer (Nov 21, '11)
ASIA
HAND
After the flood in Thailand
As Thailand's flood waters slowly recede, a new political crisis is emerging
that could undermine Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra's moves to put the
establishment on the back foot. As Yingluck bids to regain momentum lost by her
administration's erratic handling of the natural disaster, she will face
rejuvenated royalists and more radical elements who are already threatening a
backlash against her plan to secure an amnesty to rehabilitate her elder
brother Thaksin from self-exile. - Shawn W Crispin
(Nov 18, '11)
BOOK
REVIEW
Revelations of a secret war
The Secret Army: Chiang Kai-shek and the Drug Warlords of the Golden Triangle
by Richard M Gibson and Wenhua Chen
While it's known that thousands of Chinese nationalists settled in north
Thailand after the civil war, as seen in thriving Chinese villages like Mae
Salong, this book reveals how the United States re-equipped them to fight Mao
Zedong's China and later Thai communist insurgents. It also constructs how US
involvement helped created the narcotics production hub that is today's Golden
Triangle.
- Bertil Lintner (Nov 18, '11)
Duqu returns to Iran
Duqu malware has reared its head again in Iran, where the government says it
has the latest infection under control without confirming whether nuclear
installations were again the target. As various affected countries hunt the
perpetrator, the culprit appears to have a fondness for pop thriller culture.
Martin J Young surveys the week's developments in computing, science,
gaming and gizmos.
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