Latest update: 10/12/2008 
- financial crisis - subprime crisis - USA

How a subprime apple contaminated global finance
How a subprime apple contaminated global finance
The worldwide financial crisis that threatens to plunge leading economies into a prolonged recession stems from a relatively localised housing crisis.
By Clea CAULCUTT (text)

How did the crisis start?

In the mid-1990s, encouraged by low interest rates, US banks began offering mortgages to “subprime” borrowers, people whose low incomes or unreliable borrowing histories had previously made them ineligible for mortgages. These high-risk loans often had “adjustable” interest rates, which started low but could rise sharply in later years.

Much of the high-risk mortgage debt was transformed into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) which could be exchanged on stock markets. The high-risk MBS’s were often packed into sophisticated financial products and sold off to financial firms and insurance companies around the world.
 
However, in late 2006, interest rates rose and poor households across the US struggled to pay off their mortgages. Many of them went bankrupt and lost their homes - an estimated 1.2 million nationwide.
The subprime market’s collapse

As default rates on subprime loans shot up, investors lost confidence in subprime loans and related financial products. Investment banks, which provide financial services (unlike commercial banks), tried to get rid of stocks based on these high-risk housing loans. Panic gripped stock exchanges and the value of MBS’s, whose cash flows are backed by the principal and interest payments of mortgage loans, plummeted.
 
The first victim of the subprime crisis was Bear Stearns, which closed two funds with significant subprime investments in July 2007. The plummeting value of MBS’s raised fears of a credit crunch, a situation in which banks are reluctant to lend each other money, reducing the amount of credit available for the business loans that keep an economy growing.
 
The subprime contagion spreads
 
The crisis started in the US but quickly spread around the world. Banks which had invested in subprime lending were some of the first victims of the crisis. After Bear Stearns' bad news it was Swiss banking giant UBS which announced it was writing off $10 billion on US subprime market losses in December 2007. In February 2008, the UK government decided to nationalize Northern Rock, a banking group specialized in housing loans, to save it from bankruptcy.
 
The crisis did not end there. In September 2008, several financial firms and insurance companies hit rough waters. First, the US government had to bail out mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on Sept. 7. A week later, Lehman Brothers, the fourth-largest investment bank in the United States, filed for bankruptcy after it failed to find a backer willing to come to its rescue.
 
On Sept. 17, the US government decided to take an 80 percent stake in American International Group (AIG), a major insurance company on the brink of collapse, offering up an $85 billion loan.
 
World stock markets were hit hard on news of the ailing financial groups. When Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy, Wall Street saw its worst day of losses since Sept. 11, 2001. Asian and European stocks also sank.
 
Central banks to the rescue

 
In a first move to forestall a credit crunch, the world’s central banks decided to inject funds into money markets. In August 2007, the European Central Bank (ECB) injected 95 billion euros into money markets to calm investors following BNP Paribas' decision to close three of its funds. In September 2008, the US Federal Reserve System injected $180 billion into money markets in the wake of AIG’s near-collapse. The Fed had agreed to distribute the money to other central banks and private banks in need of dollars.

On Oct. 3, the US House of Representatives passed an unprecedented “bailout” of the financial sector, the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. Designed by US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, the plan authorizes the US Treasury to use up to 700 billion dollars of public money to buy up the Wall Street banks’ bad debts, allowing them to remain solvent.

The plan did not immediately succeed in restoring confidence on the world’s stock markets. After posting dramatic single-day falls - some of the worst since the stock market crash of the late 1920s - central banks and governments across the globe coordinated efforts to provide a lasting solution to the crisis.

This involved huge cash injections into the financial system, often resulting in full or partial nationalisations of major banks.

The British government said it would use 50 billion pounds (64 billion euros) to buy stakes in HSBC, Royal Bank of Scotland, Barclays, HBOS, Lloyds TSB, Standard Chartered, Abbey and Nationwide Building Society.

Iceland, battling national bankruptcy, nationalised the country's three biggest banks.

Elsewhere, the Belgian, French and Luxembourg governments rode to the rescue of struggling bank Dexia, pledging to guarantee money it borrows on the markets.

And in a concerted action on Oct. 8,  the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and central banks in China, Sweden and Switzerland all joined the new interest rate offensive, cutting rates by half a percentage point.

How can this affect me?

Those first affected by the financial system’s troubles are the sector’s employees, notably the thousands of Lehman Brothers employees who have lost their jobs, but many more job cuts are expected on Wall Street and the world’s stock exchanges and financial firms.  “Everyone working in the London circuit is really worried about their job now. As banks and mergers disappear, thousands of posts go with them,” Yann H., a young trader formally with Goldman Sachs, told FRANCE 24.

However, the prospect of job losses is not limited to traders and brokers.  Alessandro Giraudo, an economist and author of "Legends and Myths in Economics", says the financial system will not crumble, but conceded to FRANCE 24 that the current crisis “will just force people to slow down and take less risks.”

The simultaneous move by central banks to inject funds into money markets is aimed at preserving the flow of credit, that if plugged will force businesses to stall their activities, and could result in the bust of more companies. Those struggling to find work because of job cuts or hiring freezes, and worried consumers in general, are certain to spend less on goods and services, driving down sales and extending revenue losses to small to mid-range businesses.

While central bank injections reassured panicky stock markets and calmed credit crunch fears, they do not offer long-term solutions to the risky mechanisms of the financial system, which even with the central banks’ aid is uncertain to recover completely.

These massive injections of public funds mean that, in the long term, taxpayers and consumers could bear the brunt of the crisis as inflation rises and public deficit increases.  Rising inflation means a general rise in the level of prices of goods and services, which can hurt consumers who have already felt the surge in energy and food prices worldwide.

 
The dark spectre of recession hangs over the economies of the industrialized nations as a result of the crisis.
 

Comments (23)

Bailout

The bailout will probably cause both England and the US to print more money, so inflation will follow and then we will all suffer because of that. The more money printed the more money in circulation, the more inflation.

fin crissis

The world financial crissis is everyone's problem world leaders,economists , top bankers ,etc should learn on this sad occurance and work out guidelines to protect us in future the world over.The economies of superpowers like America,European Union, emerging Chinese economy should be independent of each other in such a way that if it happens to be a slump in the other major superpower it must not affect the other economies thats how it should be modeled.The whole financial world should have standard checks and balances and discipline to protect our economies .

How did the crises start?

It's great to get this information and a different view point from USA, I'm enjoying your website. Thank you

Crises

I really believe that the real crises here is total greed on the part of big wigs of these companies and banks. And also the greed on the part of the investors and polititians trying to find an easy out. They need to hold those higher up's accountable and make them pay big time in jail and fines and not let them get away with it by slapping there hands. I REAPEAT THE GOVERNMENT NEEDS TO HOLD THEM ACCOUNTABLE. (DO NOT LET THE CEO'S AND ETC GET OFF THAT EASY THEY NEED TO SPEND TIME IN JAIL AND FINE THEM.)

How did the crisis affect the British Property Market

In Britain I believe that England has been hit far harder than Scotland for 2 reasons. Firstly the Scottish Property market was not overly inflated except in the Oil Area of Aberdeen, thus Housing Prices maintained a steady increase releasing equity to the Homeowner if required. Secondly, that English Lenders stupidly offerred upto 125% mortgages which meant homeowners in England would owe more than their property was worth in an inflated market. With Interest Rates stagnant or on an increase (even despite the Bank of England decrease) together with no equity in their property and the cost of essentials ever increasing, it is no wonder that people then struggle to repay their mortgage in England and that the English repossession rate is out of control.

How a subprime apple contaminated global finance

Because it is a nature of an international markets system...

How a subprime apple contaminated global finance

It is because of a financial crisis!

Bank Bail Outs

Ditto: However, some our wonderful fellow Americans did not use their intelligence when they accepted loans that were less then okay. I feel that some of us are too into materialism and wanting it all. That in itself is one of the reasons that I see that this happened.

Subprime Crisis

I just don't understand how you will let someone encourage you to purchase a home that's cost to much for your income.

Subprime Crisis

I just don't understand how you will let someone encourage you to purchase a home that's cost to much for your income.

Greed Burned The American Public!!

The introduction of sub-prime mortgages and loans to low-and middle-income families and individuals was one factor for the debacle. They were given these deals at "low" rates at the start of the contract; banks then imposed "high" fees and surcharges just to burn the consumers. Banks and other financial institutions won in the game ... consumers lost big in the deal. Chief Executive Officers -- with their big bonuses -- on Wall Street was a second factor. They obtained up to $30 and $40 million in retirement packages and severance pay. Consumers were left to bear the responsibility of cleaning up the garbage when a corporation went bankrupt. Thiese examples are two significant reasons why America's economy has gone down the tank. Barack Obama will be America's next president come November 4, 2008!!

Blaming the crisis on greed?

How can the crisis be blamed on greed? Subprime borrowers were forced on lenders by law made by do-gooder legislators who forced loans to be made to people who were bad risks. No lender makes bad loans based on greed.

Subprime Mess:Democrats at Fault

Excellent overview article; however, let's name names: Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac began giving loans to people who couldn't afford them. "Stated Income" loans means that you don't have to prove anything with tax & income records...no wonder the loans fail! The CEOs of those huge entities were Franklin Raines & Jim Johnson. Those two flunkies---who ran their companies into the ground while taking home huge bonuses---have found new jobs with Barack Obama's campaign---as ECONOMIC ADVISORS! And who has gotten the biggest donations to their campaigns for years? All Democrats: Chris Dodd, Barney Frank, Obama...Vote the Democrats OUT before we become the "United Socialist States of America"!

all our debt

does the capital markets really perform such a crucial role in the free market system?-only a few big players benefit greatly,and they don't have to sell their assets when it falls apart,and government nationalizes all their debt (welfare for the rich). I don't think it will help the credit and cash strapped consumer who is essential to a consumer-oriented economy. Let's face it, the U.S. has run out of natural resources, does not manufacture durable industrial goods (steel has long to Japan and,now, India). All the people think they have talent- in the brainless entertainment field. I think the U.S's rotting culture and its sinking values has a lot to do with the financial world's decline. A stupid sixteen girl should not be making a billion dollars off of idol worshiping uneducated children. And no one deserves $ 35 million for their looks. But people in the U.S. seem to think it's okay-it's a narcisstic culture where everyone thinks they look like a "beautiful" celebrity-and can live like one. And then they'll complain about the cost of their educated, well-trained (and debt-laden) doctors! Our values are screwed up!

Financial Crisis

I read today the although we, the taxpayer, paid some £37 billion to aid the financial crisis, the Financila Sector has paid out £17 billion in bonusses. I say let them sink!

gas

the problem started with the cost of gas. and the war in itaq. if more time was spent at home instead of overseas .

the Subprime Apple...came from a rotting tree

The roots of the real estate bubble and subprime mortgage disaster go much farther back. Several decades ago, the tax policy concerning capital gains exclusion on residential real estate in the US changed drastically; the amount which could bypass taxation increased several times over the 80's and 90's, helping to fuel the turnover of homes and, combined with lowered interest rates and relaxed credit standards, to increase selling
prices far beyond any actual increase in intrinsic value. Combined with decreases in the maximum taxation rates for long term capital gains, this regressive tax policy fueled bubbles in several investment categories.
In the near future, a small part of this policy will be changed when new Capital Gains Exclusion rules for residential real estate go into effect in 2009.

Subprime Loans

TRUE, MOST of us will suffer from subprime loans, HOWEVER:
If one did not overextend oneself, buy more than one can afford, invest greedily in others greed, they would not now be yelling foul quite so loudly.

Global financial crisis

The problem goes back a long way. The US for whatever reason has always tried to interfere in other countries by using whatever methods they thought appropriate. The US arms companies and their investors love war, they get paid twice, first arm both sides, then pick a side to support using flawed logic (or gunboat diplomacy)
start a war, and then get paid again to supply more weapons and rebuild the infrastructure destroyed by war.
Move on and start again. The US has never paid the going rate for energy that the rest of the world has to pay for in devalued US dollars. Until the vast majority of Americans learn that another world exists outside of the USA the mess will continue. Grow up America and accept responsibility for your own actions. Stop trying to get the rest of the world to bail you out.

Mortgage defaults are only an excuse

Bear Stearns got into trouble 3 to 6 months BEFORE the spike in sub-prime default rates. They made multiple mistakes issuing the structured securities. For example, the same mortgage was sold in multiple bonds; so when one mortgage defaulted more than one bond lost money. Homeowners have won court cases to keep their homes because the bonds didn't include proper documentation for liens on the properties. Wall Street's problem is of their own making.

Subprime?

Actually, the truth is, when the subprime borrowers began to adjust their mortgages, more NON OWNER OCCUPIED loan programs began to surface at 90-100% Loan to Value with incredibly high debt to income ratio allowances! Investors went wild buying every piece of property they could get their hands on and convincing many of the "subprime" borrowers to sell to them instead of refinance. When oil prices rose, inflation went up, and unemployment went up causing renters to downsize. Property values began dropping dramatically and investors began dumping properties leaving the banks to sell them and neighbors values at even greater risk. Many investors that saw their peers make huge profits on flips relied on this action and did not get it so they ran. To verify, review the bank sales of properties that were owned by people who owned more than one unit...you will find the truth right there.
Poor borrowers struggling to maintain their one unit...usually not a rental but their home, still proved to underwriters that they could pay the bill or the underwriters would not have said yes to the loan. Let's not blame the hardest working people in America for the mess that greedy investors looking for a way to not take on their risk made. If I hear "subprime" caused this one more time I think I will lose my hair. I watched too many investors dump and run to continue to hear that. Now the poor guy still has to foot the bill.

Credit Default Swaps

Credit Default Swaps or the highly leveraged insurance for the toxic paper is the real problem.
It totals ~ a qudrillion dollars or so.

SUBPRIME APPLE

You need to get your facts straight. Lehmann was NOT an insurance company, but an investment bank. AIG is the insurance company which is being bailed out. This problem didn't start in the mid 90's either..it started after 2001 when the tech bubble burst. The banks started low-income people out at LOW teaser rates which then ADJUSTED to much higher rates. Those are just the errors in the first two paragraphs.

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