Graham Readfearn

Tuesday, January 06, 2009 at 01:41pm
 

ANOTHER day, another predictable and regurgitated dog’s brekky of a climate change editorial from The Australian.

This time, The Australian gives a virologist and computer modeller a turn at being a climate change expert.

Before we get to the real shocking part of this story (and please pardon me for keeping you in suspense until the end, but it’s worth it so hang on in there) let’s first look at just a couple of the assertions made by Jon Jenkins, the aforementioned virologist.

“...prior to the 1970s, surface-based temperatures from a few indiscriminate, mostly backyard locations in Europe and the US are fatally corrupted and not in any sense a real record.’’

Mr Jenkins doesn’t say where he gets this stunning conclusion from, but it’s fair to say he is ignorant of Australia’s network of more than 100 land-based thermometers which provide our Bureau of Meteorology with its records.

Next, Mr Jenkins states confidently how satellite measurements are the only ones which count, which he says started in the 1970s (actually, they started in 1979, so he was only just right). He then claims they only reveal “minuscule warming” which stopped in 2000 and had completely reversed by 2008.

This one simple graph shows how wrong he is. Below is a chart which plots all the four major global temperature records against each other - two of which use satellite data (RSS and UAH) and the other two (GISS and HadCRU) land-based measurements.

image
Thanks to the Yale Forum on Climate Change & the Media for this graph.

So what of these accusations from Jenkins? I asked Australia’s acting chief climatologist Dr Michael Coughlan at the Bureau of Meteorology for his view.

“It’s nonsense,’’ says Coughlan."No matter how you cut the cloth, the temperatures are going up.’’

Coughlan was one of two review editors for the Australian chapters of the latest IPCC report. So what does he make of one of Jenkins other accusations - that the IPCC is a clique?

“My job was not to write the report, but to make sure that the authors who were writing it had paid attention and responded to the comments from other scientists. That included all the sceptics that we could find. They were given the opportunity to comment, but many chose not to.’’

Of climate change contrarians such as Jon Jenkins, Coughlan has this to say.

“We have produced rebuttals of all of these arguments - they have all been addressed. But they just keep trotting them out. No matter how many times you tell them they’re wrong, they just keep going. The general approach seems to be - if we keep banging away at an untruth, people will start to believe it’’.

Let’s not forget that these contrarian views are not being expressed on a bit of street press or some fringe web site somewhere - they’re being repeated over and over in Australia’s only national newspaper. So now comes the revelation - and that is Coughlan’s view of The Australian newspaper itself.

“The Australian clearly has an editorial policy. No matter how many times the scientific community refutes these arguments, they persist in putting them out - to the point where we believe there’s little to be gained in the use of our time in responding.’’

There. Told you it was worth waiting for.


Have Your Say

Show Oldest | Newest first    Page 1 of 1    

I wouldn’t worry too much about it. I used to read The Australian and The Age but I got sick and tired of both the extreme right and left wing ideologies espoused. Although I liked the punch line. Responding by saying they weren’t responding is a pretty good trick. Sadly the paper is part of the network that is paying your salary. Could you tell me how newslimited is going to become carbon neutral by 2010? I noticed that it has something to do with employee contributions. Are you allowed to discuss this?

John Michaels of Overseas (Reply)
Tue 06 Jan 09 (04:14pm)
Dr Tony Wilkins replied to John Michaels
Tue 20 Jan 09 (09:26am)

John,

You might like to see how we at News Limited are addressing our goal of a 20% reduction in emissions and becoming carbon neutral by having a look at the One Degree website (http://www.1degree.com.au).

In the “what we are doing - at home” section of the website you will see about 95 projects listed in the EEO public report PDF, with 27 projects elaborated on in detail. This of course is just a glimpse of what is happening but it certainly highlights some of our initiatives.

Of course all of us here who make newspapers, magazines or websites have the option to be as involved as we wish. We have established carbon councils in all our business units to help facilitate this. The Carbon Councils drive many of the intiatives and so you are right it does have quite a lot to do with employees!

Regards,

Dr Tony Wilkins
Manager Environment and Climate Change
News Limited

hmmm ... contrarians. Nice descriptor word.

Ben Tehan of Ashgrove (Reply)
Tue 06 Jan 09 (04:19pm)

Well I’m happy if Dr Coughlan takes his bat and ball and goes home. Looks as if he just cannot debate the science he just wants everyone to believe him without producing the facts.

FROG of Ferny Hills (Reply)
Tue 06 Jan 09 (04:21pm)
the Doon of Deanside replied to FROG
Wed 07 Jan 09 (12:06pm)

Which part of “We have produced rebuttals of all of these arguments - they have all been addressed” do you not understand?

FROG replied to FROG
Wed 07 Jan 09 (05:29pm)

I think you are mistaking denial of facts for rebuttals Doon.

Bob Evans replied to FROG
Thu 08 Jan 09 (06:32am)

Ok, banging away at untruths then. There that sounds better .

cheese

the Doon of Deanside replied to FROG
Thu 08 Jan 09 (09:38am)

I think you are mistaking denial of facts for rebuttals Doon.

No, FROG, I think you’re confusing the English language for the curious brand of middle-earth rightservative babble that you attempt to communicate with.

Just because you don’t like (or can’t understand) somebody’s answers doesn’t mean they haven’t actually answered.

FROG replied to FROG
Thu 08 Jan 09 (11:20am)

Just because you don’t like (or can’t understand) somebody’s answers doesn’t mean they haven’t actually answered.

Doesn’t mean the answer is either relevant or appropriate either Doon.

Perhaps you Doon, you Bob and you Harry should take the time and read this article by Dr. Michael R. Fox if you want to see relevance.

GRAHAM: I wonder how happy Dr Fox would be if a climatologist wrote a piece on nuclear physics?

FROG replied to FROG
Thu 08 Jan 09 (01:12pm)

GRAHAM: I wonder how happy Dr Fox would be if a climatologist wrote a piece on nuclear physics?

I am sure he would not have a problem provided they knew what they were talking about. He also has degrees in chemistry and mathematics Graham and is a member of the International Environmental Institute By the way his article is about the principles in science not the results. Whether you are a chemist, a physicist or a medical scientist or any other scientist the same principles apply. These are the critical paragraphs.

”In general, we look for a new law by the following process. First, we guess it. Then we compute the consequences of the guess to see what would be implied if this law that we guessed is right. Then we compare the result of the computation to nature, with experiment or experience; compare it directly with observation to see if it works. If it disagrees with experiment it is wrong. It’s that simple statement that is the key to science. It does not make any difference how beautiful your guess is. It does not make any difference how smart you are, who made the guess, or what his name is---if it disagrees with experiment (observation) it is wrong.” - Dr. Richard Feynman, “The Character of Natural Law”, the MIT Press, 1965, p. 156.

Notice that Feynman points out that if the hypothesis cannot explain real world observations, then the hypothesis is wrong. There are many examples of where the AGW hypothesis cannot explain the real world observations. The hypothesis clearly is wrong since it fail to explain real world observations, and needs to be modified or abandoned. So let’s test the AGW hypothesis, and ask “Is the Hypothesis True?”

Note the hypothesis is wrong not the data. You can’t adjust the data to suit the hypothesis it has to be the other way around.

the Doon of Deanside replied to FROG
Thu 08 Jan 09 (05:09pm)

There you go with that English language problem again, Dr FROG.

“Relevance” does not mean “poor, biased source selectively chosen because it backs up my own personal prejudices”.

FROG replied to FROG
Fri 09 Jan 09 (06:46am)

“poor, biased source selectively chosen because it backs up my own personal prejudices”.

Please tell me Doon where I said these words or even implied these thoughts. Is this you imagination running wild again.  Setting up your straw man again are you Doon.

the Doon of Deanside replied to FROG
Fri 09 Jan 09 (10:48am)

Setting up your straw man again are you Doon.

Straw man? I’ve heard of a wicker man, but never straw. That’s just silly. Ask Lord Summerisle.

I’ll also thank you to use my correct nomenclature. It’s THE Doon. Not Doon.

FROG replied to FROG
Fri 09 Jan 09 (02:04pm)

Straw man? I’ve heard of a wicker man, but never straw. That’s just silly. Ask Lord Summerisle.

There you go Doon you can find it in Wiki here

A straw man argument is an informal fallacy based on misrepresentation of an opponent’s position.[1] To “set up a straw man,” one describes a position that superficially resembles an opponent’s actual view, yet is easier to refute.

Bob Evans replied to FROG
Sat 10 Jan 09 (02:48pm)

Perhaps you Doon, you Bob and you Harry should take the time and read this article by Dr. Michael R. Fox if you want to see relevance.

Oh man, you just dont give up on the same ol same ol do you? Dr Fox is either going senile or you just have an inate ability to pick debunked science & right wing outlets.

This prize piece of comedy in Dr Fox’s aticle says it all:

“There has been no warming over the past 10 years and a slight cooling for the last 6 or 7 years. In the meantime the CO2 emissions have continued to increase. The hypothesis predicted warming over the last 10 years, while no warming and even cooling has been observed. The AGW hypothesis again is falsified.”

My thigh is hurting from the slapping in laughter.

Then he goes on with LIA & the Suns role & other planets are cooling...oh man, just gold.

Who is Hawaii Reporter or Dr Fox on the world stage?

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Hawaii_Reporter

“Hawaii Reporter is an online daily newspaper based in Honolulu, Hawaii, described by co-founder, Jay McWilliams as having a focus on government, politics, business and education. [1]

It is known for publishing articles directly from the discredited Talon News.”

Talon News:

“ Talon’s close affiliation with the conservative organization GOPUSA, a right-wing site owned by Texas-based Republican activist Bobby Eberle, and is guilty of plagiarism. “

I mean cmon, seriously Frog, you do have some sort of Right Wingers bible there dont you?

But the last bit you said you somehow dont see the irony of.

“I wonder how happy Dr Fox would be if a climatologist wrote a piece on nuclear physics? “

He is a Nuclear Physicist Frog .Do they spend all day just putting climate science to the test ? Or do they practice & have knowledge in Nuclear Physics?

Does being a scientist of one field automatically give you knowledge & experience in every other discipline?

FROG replied to FROG
Sun 11 Jan 09 (07:24am)

Everything is discredited except the links you provide to Greenpeace and the far left wing sourcewatch. Your only form of attack is to try and discredit the messenger. You hardly ever challenge the message Bob your modus operandi is to smear. Is that all you have got Bob. A religious belief in AWG and NO Logic, No Debate, NO Science just smear?  That has been a left wing tactic for a very long time Bob but in the past the left has been much better at it than you are now.

Graeme, I appreciate your willingness to point out The Aus’s curious editorial policy, and may the principle of freedom of expression protect you! Is there an ideological war going on within News Limited?

If The Australian loses the co-operation of even a section of the scientific community, it will be a damning indictment of their approach, though the cynical dimwits there will spin it as some kind of indicator of thin-skinned elitism, and/or a victory over ‘political correctness’.

Nick (Reply)
Tue 06 Jan 09 (04:31pm)

Hey there Graham,

Considering the complete crap that other publications espouse about global warming, ie anything by Tim Flannery; it’s not surprising that one paper has taken the opportunity to take a different road.

I just wish both sides would stop with the rubbish.

Ain’t going to happen.

Inquisitivemind of Brisbane (Reply)
Tue 06 Jan 09 (04:35pm)

“We have produced rebuttals of all of these arguments - they have all been addressed. But they just keep trotting them out. No matter how many times you tell them they’re wrong, they just keep going. The general approach seems to be - if we keep banging away at an untruth, people will start to believe it’’.

Unfortunately this true of many Denialist/Contrarian/pseduoscientist positions whether it be Flouride in water, Creationism, Homeopathy, ESP, CC denialists and list goes on.

Harry of Drewvale (Reply)
Tue 06 Jan 09 (05:56pm)
Bob Evans replied to Harry
Thu 08 Jan 09 (06:36am)

FROG replied to FROG
Wed 07 Jan 09 (06:29pm)
I think you are mistaking denial of facts for rebuttals Doon

Errr, yeah..right. Pity the “facts”, oops sorry,typo, “untruths” were proven wrong.

wink

Australia’s network of more than 100 land-based thermometers which provide our Bureau of Meteorology with its records.

This has always puzzled me. Where are these sites? Have they and only those always been used since, say, 1900? Have the conditions around them been accounted for such as more concrete and buildings often referred as island heat. What about the official Brisbane BOM site which has had 3 major moves in 100 years and is now in its warmest position of the three? Do other sites get added to the data? After all if you add 50 more sites in north Australia and only 25 in the southern part a higher average would result. Are stringent conditions relating to these questions followed overseas? Automatic stations are good but much data in previous years relied on some bumbling remote amateurs who may not have been as careful with time and data especially after a night on the hops.
sarina of sunnybank (Reply)
Wed 07 Jan 09 (06:08am)
Gaz replied to sarina
Thu 08 Jan 09 (09:11am)

Sarina, are these rhetorical questions or are you genuinely ignorant?

FROG replied to sarina
Thu 08 Jan 09 (02:46pm)

After all if you add 50 more sites in north Australia and only 25 in the southern part a higher average would result. Are stringent conditions relating to these questions followed overseas?

But it gets worse, much worse if you have 15,000 sites world wide in 1970 and by 1990 you lose 10,000 of those many from the coldest parts of the world like Siberia you get a skewed result - now guess which way it got skewed. There you go you guessed it.  This is just one example of a temperature graph compared with the number of sites.  There are many others.

I see Gaz is true to form with his personal attacks again.

And Tim Flannery is a climate change expert...?? sorry WRONG, well Al Gore must be WRONG, then the IPCC must be full of them WRONG...why are these people experts? oh that right they agree with you.....

B (Reply)
Wed 07 Jan 09 (01:34pm)

B, it’s not about personality, it’s about science. Denialists can’t debate without bringing personality into it, sadly. If you’d like to debate the science presented in this post, go ahead.

Ooh I do like the title, “Chief Climatologist at the Bureau of Meteorology”. That is a clear statement on the ingnorant confusion between weather and climate.

Tazzz (Reply)
Wed 07 Jan 09 (05:54pm)
Gaz replied to Tazzz
Thu 08 Jan 09 (09:19am)

Are you really claiming this guy doesn’t know the difference between climate and weather?
Well, you missed something here.
He’s actually the ACTING chief climatologist at the Bureau of Meteorolgy.
Yes, that’s right, you missed a golden opportunity to accuse him of not knowing the difference between weather, climate AND dramatic art.
I bet you’re really kicking yourself now.


Sarina,

There is a comprehensive page on Australia’s reference climate network on the Bureau’s web site.

AB (Reply)
Thu 08 Jan 09 (08:46am)

GRAHAM: I wonder how happy Dr Fox would be if a climatologist wrote a piece on nuclear physics?

What’s the problem.We’ve got AL GORE,FAILED POLITICIAN , NON SCIENTIST, CALAMITOUS AUTHOR OF INACCURATE DRIVEL , PRODUCER OF PROPAGANDA FILMS THAT CARRY A WARNING ON CONTENT FROM THE HIGH COURT OF ENGLAND , prognostications from paleontologists , and economists writing learned pieces of alleged climate analysis, populist journalists holding themselves out fraudulently as experts on meteorology , politicians who believe anything they’re told , and a plethora of alleged scientific geniuses who exist on the iron lung of grants ,and you’re complaining ?..so which part of the word “frauds” don’t you understand? You too Doony..what the matter? Bolts blog not operatig to give you a daliy fixation?

frankly fed up of brisbane (Reply)
Fri 09 Jan 09 (09:59am)
RedGreenInBlue replied to frankly fed up
Wed 14 Jan 09 (10:43pm)

What is this trope about research grants being some sort of Faustian pact? Firstly, if the outcomes were predetermined by the donor, there’d be no need to waste money on actual research, the results of which might not align with the donor’s agenda). Secondly, grants are awarded by all sorts of bodies: governments, businesses, NGOs and charitable foundations. Are you suggesting that all of them have signed up to the same secret agenda to silence dissent? Thirdly, how do you suggest the climatologists fund their ice-core drilling, satellite time or computing hardware for modelling? Or have you got facilities to rival the Hadley Centre or GISS in your garage?

frankly fed up.

And your answer to the question? What it ultimately comes down to is the peer-reviewed research, and the overarching message from that is very clear indeed.

Graham Readfearn
Fri 09 Jan 09 (10:59am)

Funny. Everything Jenkins said was correct:
- carrect about 1979 being in the 1970s, correct about the satellite trends being ‘miniscule’, and this:

“but the simple facts are that prior to the 1970s, surface-based temperatures from a few indiscriminate, mostly backyard locations in Europe and the US are fatally corrupted and not in any sense a real record.

They are then further doctored by a secret algorithm to account for heat-island effects. Reconstructions such as the infamously fraudulent “hockey stick” are similarly unreliable.”

To understand why Jenkins has a point, go to wattsupwiththat.com and gander at the review of the quality of weather stations in the US, showing vast numbers of them not being up to snuff. And finding out that when it comes to other countries the situation is worse.

The trends that satellites are showing are INDEED miniscule - less than 0.2C since 1980 to 1988, or 0.07C/ decade.

With such a small warming ‘signal’, yet with land temperature errors and adjustments of up to 0.6C, the ‘reconstruction’ factor overwhelms the warming trend quantity.

This is a classic case of ‘noise’ being larger than ‘signal’. Any statistician and scientist would be leery of drawing conclusions in such cases, which is probably why real scientists from many fields are showing up to say ‘bollocks’ to the climate scientists who are cooking the books to make their case.

Australia could have a gazillion thermometers, but it misses the point: It’s about data quality and data precision, and the fact that when you DO have data quality and precision ... the warming practically disappears! THAT is what the satellite data is telling you.

Even the chart shown on this blog shows it - 2008 no warmer than 1980, or at least less than a miniscule 0.1C warmer ... so we are to worry about 0.1C warming over 30 years?

Gibbons of USA (Reply)
Fri 09 Jan 09 (02:02pm)

“This time, The Australian gives a virologist and computer modeller a turn at being a climate change expert.” …and WHICH question are we talking of Grahame..the efficacy or otherwise of alleged experts..{or the computer modelers at the IPCC , CSIRO, THE MET , NASA etc }.or is it only acceptable to you to have those who SUPPORT you being given a gurney. By the by Grahame where did you get your numerous degrees from? How many do you have or are you just a mouthy journo out of your depth ?Lets hear of the qualifications that make you judge and jury across the entire range of earth sciences ,with an unbridled ability to instantly ridicule any disagreeable conclusions from a pletora of experinced real scientists and detect alleged falsehoods or are you just a Gore Clone?
Oh incidentally Ove Gullible gets his arguments catastrophically incorrect often.So far this decade he’s killed off the Reef four or five times.Oh the ignominy>>..Why do you listen this grant fueled “scientist” anyway?

frankly fed up of brisbane (Reply)
Fri 09 Jan 09 (04:42pm)
mkbond replied to frankly fed up
Sat 10 Jan 09 (01:29pm)

“Grahame where did you get your numerous degrees from? How many do you have or are you just a mouthy journo out of your depth ?Lets hear of the qualifications that make you judge and jury across the entire range of earth sciences ,with an unbridled ability to instantly ridicule any disagreeable conclusions from a pletora of experinced real scientists and ...”

Frankly fed up.. That’s the question I asked Andrew Bolt and Hartlog, and quess what? No reply except personal attack and ridicule!?

If you want to know who I am, there’s a biog on the Courier-Mail website. Here, I’ll even give you a link, but I’m guessing you have about as much respect for journalists as you do for climate scientists. I wouldn’t be quite so arrogant to think that I’m anyone’s judge and jury.

Graham Readfearn
Fri 09 Jan 09 (05:06pm)

Show Oldest | Newest first    Page 1 of 1    

Comments are submitted for possible publication on the condition that they may be edited. Please provide a name, you may use a screen name – this will be published with your comment, and a working email address – not for publication, but for verification. The suburb/location field is optional.
( Read our publication guidelines ).


Submit your comments here:

   
 

How to add a link: Enter the text you wish to be clickable, select it and click the 'Link' button to enter the link details in the popup box. Maximum of 2 links.


* Required Fields

 

Insert an emoticon Insert an emoticon



 

Profile

Graham Readfearn

Graham Readfearn

Journalist Graham Readfearn's unique take on the environment, climate change and sustainability... and sometimes coffee.

Advertisement

Categories

Topic Posts Latest

View Entries by Date

June 2011
S M T W T F S
      1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29 30    

Most Recent Comments

frankly fed up says: “This time, The Australian gives a virologist and computer modeller a turn at being a climate…
(Fri 09 Jan 09 at 04:42pm)
Gibbons says: Funny. Everything Jenkins said was correct: - carrect about 1979 being in the 1970s, correct…
(Fri 09 Jan 09 at 02:02pm)
frankly fed up says: GRAHAM: I wonder how happy Dr Fox would be if a climatologist wrote a piece on nuclear physics?…
(Fri 09 Jan 09 at 09:59am)
AB says: Sarina, There is a comprehensive page on Australia’s reference climate network on the…
(Thu 08 Jan 09 at 08:46am)
Tazzz says: Ooh I do like the title, “Chief Climatologist at the Bureau of Meteorology”. That is a clear…
(Wed 07 Jan 09 at 05:54pm)
John Surname says: B, it’s not about personality, it’s about science. Denialists can’t debate without bringing…
(Wed 07 Jan 09 at 04:03pm)
B says: And Tim Flannery is a climate change expert...?? sorry WRONG, well Al Gore must be WRONG,…
(Wed 07 Jan 09 at 01:34pm)

Subscribe

RSS Feed of all the latest GreenBlog articles ATOM Feed of all the latest GreenBlog articles
Subscribe to receive the latest from GreenBlog

Email a friend

To email this article to a friend, fill in the form below

Message:

close  x

Courier Mail Blogs – Talk to your journalists

Latest Icon - Comments
The Nursery 1
I’m fit… in my second life 1
Positive Education 0
Diary of a new Dad- Entry 3 4
20 weeks 22
Reds want fans at training 0
Motherhood unearthed 13
Most Commented Icon - Comments
20 weeks 22
Diary of a new Dad- Entry 3 4
I’m fit… in my second life 1
The Nursery 1
Reader Comments Icon - Comments
Kaz says: As a much older mother than the previous posts, I can only say well done Nicole. One of my daughters…
Motherhood unearthed 13
BMiL says: Just love it!!!! can’t wait, very excited!!! Our little Gem of Valentine!!!
20 weeks 22

From around the News Blog Network