Another Gore scare blown out

The warmists will be happy. It is at the EXTREME end of the scale.

Imagine Al Gore for just once in his life telling the truth. 

Same for all the other Global Warming racketeers, spruikers and parasites who know that the truth getting out would dump a torrential downpour on their parade.

To determine whether warmer temperatures affect hurricane intensity, one study began by defining the potential destructiveness of a hurricane based on the dissipation of power, integrated over the lifetime of a hurricane (Emanuel 2005). The Power Dissipation Index is found to increase since the mid-1970s, due to both longer and more intense storms. Hurricane intensity is also highly correlated with sea surface temperature. This suggests that future warming will lead to an increase in the destructive potential of tropical hurricanes.

you crow about this paper being peer reviewed and published. however according to your previous posts the peer review process is flawed and corrupt. which is it? when a paper that suits your agenda is published ,then peer review is valid and relevant. and if a paper that contradicts your agenda [ and there are 10000 such papers in the last ipcc report ] then it cannot be trusted. if this paper was published that also destroys your claim that the scientific establishment is involved in a conspiracy. and if this one paper was accepted for publication why isnt anything by bob carter accepted for publication. ?

Andrew,explain how the second excerpt renders the first in complete error...six years after Gore’s caveated comment,numbers are down.In a highly variable field,this is not unexpectable. An extra six or more years data [that Gore did not have when he made his statements based on citing research current to just before he spoke] may cast things in less certain light.

Gore mentioned the highly unpredictable frequency of hurricanes. So no contradiction there. Fewer hurricanes means lower accumulated energy,unless the few that occur are all Cat 4s and 5s...much more energetic than average. Fewer storms are reaching tropical storm strength,but,when they do,the number making cyclone strength has barely declined,according to Maue’s Fig 2.

One point not mentioned is that more storms have been observed to go through very rapid intensification,even while numbers are down. Another point: 2010 saw the lowest number of storms,but also a long term average equalling number reaching Cat 4 and 5...21% of the storms that did occur. So proportionally,while not in absolute numbers,2010 saw more high intensity storms than any other. That does not undermine the Gore statement.

The test of Gore’s comment is to keep an eye on that ratio of a years highest intensity storms to that years storm count,not to the overall years of highest total count.

So much for the worst weather we have ever seen from our alarmist friends.
Put that in you pipe

where in the paper did the scientist refute AGW.? Predicted cyclone activity is not a guaranteed thing. however it is good to see andrew finally acknowledge the importance of peer review and publication in regard to science, particularly climate science. now for that one paper. and that paper in no way rejects AGW. there are 10000 peer reviewed published papers in the ipcc report for you to consider.

“Those who have knowledge, don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge. ”

--Lao Tzu, 6th Century BC Chinese Poet

“Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.”

--Nils Bohr, Nobel laureate in Physics

“An unsophisticated forecaster uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts - for support rather than for illumination. ”

--After Andrew Lang

Gee, its been cold up here in Darwin this year! Coldest 12.8 degrees Celsius overnight compared to about 16 degrees last year. Many nights this year under last year’s 16 degrees.

Lots of cardigans and hoodies seen this year. Didn’t see any last year.

NT ALP Govt might have to start a global COOLING tax. They will tax anything that keeps you warm, but won’t tax things that keep you cool like air conditioners, fridges, cold beverages, etc. [They won’t want to be left behind when all the others jump on the bandwagon!]

Shalom, brrr.

On Bob Carter’s personal webpage, it states that he receives no research funding from special interest groups or energy companies. The bio goes on to say that Carter strives to provide critical and dispassionate analysis based on facts and knowledge. Yet carter sits on the research committee of the Institute of Public Affairs, a think tank that has received funding from oil and tobacco companies. companies in the fossil fuel sector. The Institute of Public Affairs has received funding from oil and tobacco companies.

Global surface temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere summer of 2010 were slightly below 2009, but NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies reports that the season was still the 4th warmest in 131 years of records.

Regional differences were naturally variable, but GISS Director James Hansen said the global differences from last year to this were the result of changing ocean conditions in the Tropics. “2010 was a bit cooler than 2009 mainly because a moderate El Nino in the equatorial Pacific Ocean during late 2009 and early 2010 has been replaced by a moderate La Nina,” he said.

BaAL seems to be asleep.....

On 26/06/11 Gore posted that ice and snow are disappearing from Mt Ranier.  Meanwhile, the National Park at Mt Ranier is closed due to the excessive snow build up. Snow Job.  The snow pack in the US is unusually high.  It’s summer now, but the snow still hasn’t melted.  When it does, flooding is expected.

Meanwhile, in the outside world:

The 20 warmest years having occurred since 1981 and with all 10 of the warmest years occurring in the past 12 years. Even though the 2000s witnessed a solar output decline resulting in an unusually deep solar minimum in 2007-2009, surface temperatures continue to increase

You are food for the gullible, Mr Bolt, nothing more.Some, iIf they weren’t believing you they would be queuing for snake oil cures.

Right wing media campaigns will not sway science, now or ever.

S**T! we better hurry up and get this Carbon Dioxide Tax through before it’s too late. Too late for what?
And by the way, I’m really quite annoyed at whoever it was that nicked the “Vote Greens” and “Say Yes” stickers from the rear window of my 4wd at Northcote Coles last Saturday.

I’m no scientist, but i do know how to read! If every projection and every prediction you make turns out to be wrong.
Then the product you are selling is a FRAUD!
The Australian people are not stupid!

Quite right Andrew and Gore also says Hurricane strength and frequency would increase due to rising Ocean Temperatures ..... except Ocean Temperatures aren’t rising based on 3,000 Argo buoys and consistent with the well documented reduction in total cyclonic energy in recent times. It seems the wonderfully romantic theory of the alarmists continues to crumble in the face of mounting empirical evidence to the contrary!

Argo Ocean Temps

Al Gore is only in the warmist camp for the money!!!! Along with Maurice Strong they are making millions from software designed to help “industry” downsize their carbon footprint. He was a complete laughing stock as a politician, now the gullible pathetic greens hold him up as some messiah, he is coining it Bob!!!!!

Weather Underground founder Jeff Masters - in the last 18 months:

§ Earth’s hottest year on record

§ Most extreme winter Arctic atmospheric circulation on record

§ Arctic sea ice: lowest volume on record, 3rd lowest extent

§ Record melting in Greenland, and a massive calving event

§ Second most extreme shift from El Niño to La Niña

§ Second worst coral bleaching year

§ Wettest year over land

§ Amazon rainforest experiences its 2nd 100-year drought in 5 years

§ Global tropical cyclone activity lowest on record

§ A hyperactive Atlantic hurricane season: 3rd busiest on record

§ A rare tropical storm in the South Atlantic

§ Strongest storm in Southwestern U.S. history

§ Strongest non-coastal storm in U.S. history

§ Weakest and latest-ending East Asian monsoon on record

§ No monsoon depressions in India’s Southwest Monsoon for 2nd time in 134 years

§ The Pakistani flood: most expensive natural disaster in Pakistan’s history

§ The Russian heat wave and drought: deadliest heat wave in human history

§ Record rains trigger Australia’s most expensive natural disaster in history

§ Heaviest rains on record trigger Colombia’s worst flooding disaster in history

§ Tennessee’s 1-in-1000 year flood kills 30, does $2.4 billion in damage

Masters argument is straightforward:

…it is highly improbable that the remarkable extreme weather events of 2010 and 2011 could have all happened in such a short period of time without some powerful climate-altering force at work. The best science we have right now maintains that human-caused emissions of heat-trapping gases like CO2 are the most likely cause of such a climate-altering force.

Maybe Al will have a picture of the Southern Hemisphere Hurricane on the cover of his next book “The Inconvenient Science”