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"If Obama had to stand for reelection today he'd get pretty much the same number of electoral votes he did in 2008."

                                                                       - posted by Tom Jensen

Obama doing well in key states

So far we've done 2012 Presidential polls in 6 of the 9 states that George W. Bush won in 2004 but that Obama won in 2008. Obama leads 23 out of 24 hypothetical match ups that we've tested in those states...read the full post here.

 

THE LATEST PPP SURVEYS
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West Virginia Democratic Primary Poll
May 12, 2011

Earl Ray Tomblin is headed for an easy victory in Saturday's primary, with Rick Thompson moving ahead of Natalie Tennant for second place on our final poll.

West Virginia Republican Primary Poll
May 12, 2011

Bill Maloney has caught up to Betty Ireland in the primary for Governor and the race now looks like a toss up heading into Saturday's voting.

Arizona Primaries Poll
May 11, 2011

Mitt Romney's the choice of Republicans in the state, Jeff Flake could be vulnerable to a primary challenger, and Democrats want their Senate candidate to be either Gabrielle Giffords or Terry Goddard.

Virginia Senate Poll
May 11, 2011

Tim Kaine leads George Allen 46-44...with both candidates very well known and highly polarizing it's hard to imagine this race ever being anything other than a toss up.

National 2012 President Poll
May 11, 2011

Barack Obama's approval numbers are on the rise...but his leads over potential Republican opponents for next year are not.

Virginia President Poll
May 10, 2011

Barack Obama leads six potential Republican opponents in the key swing state by anywhere from 8 to 22 points, and it's not just a bin Laden bounce.

National Republican Poll
May 10, 2011

Donald Trump's support has completely collapsed, going from 26% to 8% in the span of a month.  He's now tied for 5th place with Ron Paul, well behind Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney who are at the top of the heap.

Missouri Republican Poll
May 6, 2011

Todd Akin and Sarah Steelman are basically tied for the Senate nomination, while Mike Huckabee continues to be the clear favorite for President with GOP voters in the state.

Arizona Miscellaneous Poll
May 6, 2011

Jon Kyl's popularity is on the decline, John McCain is one of the three least popular Senators in the country, Joe Arpaio is the best liked politician in the state after Gabrielle Giffords, and voters don't want an official gun.

Missouri Governor Poll
May 4, 2011

Jay Nixon has doubled his lead over Peter Kinder to 14 points since PPP's last poll of the race in March.  He also has double digit leads in hypothetical matches with Matt Blunt and Kenny Hulshof.

Arizona Senate Poll
May 4, 2011

Gabrielle Giffords would start out as the favorite if she is able to run for the Senate next year.  Even if she can't Democrats should have some chance to win this seat, as Jeff Flake is not that popular.

Nevada Miscellaneous Poll
May 3, 2011

John Ensign's hitting new levels of unpopularity, Brian Sandoval's holding up well compared to other new Republican Governors across the country, and Harry Reid's numbers are about where they always are.

Arizona President Poll
May 3, 2011

Barack Obama looks decently competitive, trailing only Mitt Romney out of 5 Republicans we tested against him.  Arizonans don't want Sarah Palin moving to their state, and Donald Trump is out of favor even with Republicans there.

Missouri Senate Poll
May 3, 2011

Claire McCaskill's approval rating is unchanged from before the controversy about her airplane, and she continues to have small leads over all of her potential opponents.  This is a toss up race but her position isn't getting worse.

West Virginia Senate Poll
April 28, 2011

Joe Manchin's approval numbers are holding up well and he would lead Shelley Moore Capito by 8 points in a hypothetical match up.  Against other Republicans we tested the lead is more than 30.

Nevada Primaries Poll
April 28, 2011

Mitt Romney has the GOP lead for President, although it's shrinking, while Dean Heller and Shelley Berkley don't appear to have much to worry about in terms of primary opposition.

NC State Basketball Poll
April 27, 2011

NC State fans are largely withholding judgment on the hire of Mark Gottfried as their new basketball coach.  They're still divided on the decision to fire Sidney Lowe but despite making some controversial moves Debbie Yow remains extremely popular with the fan base.

West Virginia Governor Poll
April 27, 2011

Democrats lead all eight potential match ups we tested for Governor.  Earl Ray Tomblin is proving to be a popular Governor and would start out with a large lead, while the race would be more competitive with one of the other Democrats.

Nevada President Poll
April 27, 2011

Barack Obama's numbers in Nevada have slipped over the last three months and he now trails Mitt Romney for reelection in the state, although he leads the rest of the GOP field.

Pennsylvania Miscellaneous Poll
April 26, 2011

Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot in the state, Ed Rendell and Arlen Specter remain very unpopular, and 63% of voters support some form of legal recognition for same sex couples.

North Carolina President Poll
April 26, 2011

Barack Obama's poll numbers are holding up better in North Carolina than they are nationally and he leads all five Republicans we tested against him by margins ranging from small (against Huckabee, Romney, and Gingrich) to large (against Trump and Palin.)

Iowa Miscellaneous Poll
April 26, 2011

Terry Branstad is unpopular and would trail Chet Culver in a rematch, Chuck Grassley is one of the most popular Senators in the country, and Tom Latham is tops in favorability in the state's House delegation.

Nevada Senate Poll
April 26, 2011

Dean Heller continues to hold the early lead in the race to replace John Ensign, but it's down to 4 points after he led by 13 in a January PPP poll of the contest.

West Virginia Gubernatorial Primary Poll
April 26, 2011

Earl Ray Tomblin and Betty Ireland have double digit leads in the Democratic and Republican primaries for Governor.

Southern States Sociological Issues Poll
April 25, 2011

We asked voters in Georgia, North Carolina, and Mississippi their opinions about the Civil War and interracial marriage, among other issues.

Obama/Libya Poll
April 25, 2011

There is little public support for the American intervention in Libya and that's one of the things hurting Barack Obama's poll numbers right now, even though barely half of voters actually know where Libya is.

PPP NEWS
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The enthusiasm gap that was such a problem for Democrats in 2010 doesn't look like it will be back for the 2012 election.

The biggest obstacle to Sarah Palin becoming President isn't her remarkable unpopularity with independents and Democrats...it's her weakness with Republicans in the states that have key early contests.

If Kay Bailey Hutchison hadn't retired she would likely have lost to a Tea Party candidate in the primary.  Her plight is symbolic of the fact that virtually no Republican Senator is immune to a challenge from the right.

In most states based on our current polling Sarah Palin would lose by the largest margin that a Republican has gone down by in decades.

Looking at how seven states view their new Governors, from the very popular (Brian Sandoval in Nevada), to the average (Tom Corbett in Pennsylvania), to the not so hot (Rick Scott in Florida.)

Nevada Republicans are feeling buyer's remorse about their loss in the US Senate race last year...more than 2/3rd wish they'd nominated someone different than Sharron Angle.

Looking back at our 5 most memorable polls from the 2010 election cycle.

Marco Rubio's probably the most hyped of the new Republican Senators...why he might be a little bit overrated.

Looking at our end of 2010 approval ratings for Senators and Governors in more than 30 states.

Our year end report card for North Carolina politicians...Bev Perdue showed the most improvement but Richard Burr's at the top of the class.

Politico named PPP's poll first showing Scott Brown ahead of Martha Coakley as one of the ten most pivotal political moments of 2010.

Democrats in a couple key states want Sarah Palin to be the Republican nomine in 2012...could we see another 'Operation Chaos?'

The Boston Globe cited PPP numbers on the popularity of Scott Brown in a story discussing the possibility of a Vicki Kennedy candidacy for her husband's old Senate seat.

The tax deal seems to have been a political winner for Barack Obama with moderate voters in the key swing states of Ohio and Florida moving toward him in its aftermath.

The Washington Times did a story on how several pollsters, including PPP, have found that George Allen would be a viable contender in a possible comeback bid against Jim Webb in 2012.

Our state by state 2012 polls, taken as a whole, find that Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee would be in roughly a toss up with Barack Obama, that Newt Gingrich would do about the same as John McCain did, and that Obama would win in a landslide if he drew Sarah Palin as his foe.

We talked to public radio in Kansas City about Jay Nixon's unusual poll numbers- Democrats aren't in love with him but he starts in a solid position for reelection due to unusually strong crossover popularity.

Voters in Wisconsin dislike Brett Favre a lot more than ones in Ohio do LeBron James.

Politico reported on our poll finding that most Americans- and particularly conservatives- think that anti-health care members of Congress should decline their health care.

Sarah Palin has a Republican problem- she may be the most popular contender with the party's primary voters but there's a fair amount of hesitance to support her in a general election.

 

 
 

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