"A Complete Failure": The 7 Things QE2 Won't Do

Posted Nov 12, 2010 12:40pm EST by Aaron Task in Investing, Recession

Since the Fed launched QE2 last week, there's been a lot of talk (maybe, maybe too much talk, as Bono might say) about what the $600 billion program will do for (or to) the economy, the dollar and Ben Bernanke's credibility.

Michael Pento, senior economist at Euro Pacific Capital, has a different take on things, as he is wont to do. In a recent report, Pento outlined the five things QE2 won't do:

  • -- Lower U.S. corporate tax rates.
  • -- Reduce regulations that are "crippling" U.S. firms.
  • -- Make U.S. workers more competitive vs. foreigners.
  • -- Improve the U.S. education system.
  • -- Lead to a balanced budget.

In the accompany video, Pento calls these items "credible, cogent steps to bail out this country" -- in stark contrast to QE2, that is.

Not content with five, he added a two more things QE2 is not doing: Stop long-term interest rates from rising or lowering the employment rate.

"It's a complete failure," Pento says. "And there's no exit for Ben [Bernanke]. We're going to get the inflation he's so intent on creating. And is then a good time to sell hundreds of billions of Treasuries on top of the foreign selling that's coming? Is he really thinking about this?"

In the end, all QE2 will do is "wreck the dollar" and spur double-digit inflation, he says. "That's going to be really pernicious for this economy."

Aaron Task is the host of Tech Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at altask@yahoocom

Earlier:

U.S. of "Irony and Hypocrisy": We're No. 1!...At Currency Manipulation, Pento Says 

Ireland Is the 'New Greece'; Japan and U.S. Next in Line for "Catastrophe", Pento Says

Pento: Deficit Commish's Proposal DOA, But Make Congress Vote On It Anyway

248 comments

  • 0 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment
    TawnAngel88 1 minute ago Report Abuse
    Bureaucrats are risk-averse losers. Don't expect them to 'Create' jobs. They destroy job.

    Ax 40% first, then follow up with another 25%. Prune it, and it will grow better.
  • A Yahoo! User
    0 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment
    A Yahoo! User 1 minute ago Report Abuse
    if you want to hire a real economist with intelligence you hire one with wit. No economist is smart enough to get it right. inflation can be peg'd to fat americans getting fatter waists. Fatter americans consume more than average size americans. They consume more sugar, cotton, rice, wheat, corn and lets not forget oil with their oversized SUVs that burn more. Inflation is going up in china at an insane pace because obesity is growing at double digit pace. Get a clue. compare the same car with a skinny person and compare a car with an overweight person, one will get better mileage over any span.
  • A Yahoo! User
    0 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 1 users disliked this comment
    A Yahoo! User 1 hour ago Report Abuse
    I remember this guy played a slimy, two-bit bookmaker on “The Sopranos”. He was excellent. He’s a NATURAL for those kind of parts.
  • 1 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 1 users disliked this comment
    Mikoyan 1 hour ago Report Abuse
    Unions aren't the problem idiot! Corrupt politicians manipulated by bribes are our problem.
  • 3 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 2 users disliked this comment
    Union IUOE 12 2 hours ago Report Abuse
    Do I smell a revolution ?
  • 3 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 2 users disliked this comment
    Reyter 2 hours ago Report Abuse
    "Bust some unions"? It just goes to show capitalists are reactionary pigs on both sides of the spectrum.
  • 0 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 2 users disliked this comment
    Anonymous 2 hours ago Report Abuse
    The problem is whenever US print more dollars, the international commodities price goes up and cause the deflation of Dollar.
    To solve this problem, S should have a dyal currency system
    One currency should only be used domestically, and one currency should only be used overseas for trading and reserve/
    With such arrangement, if you print more domestic dollars, it will not cause inflation internationally , and at the same time you increase the domestic money supply which will grow the domestic ecomomic growth lift up the price of housing, equity and help US get out of this mess. At the same time the supply of internatimal dollar will not increase which will cause the inflation internationally

    f you want to reduce the consumption, you can adjust the exchange rate between domestic and international dollar
  • A Yahoo! User
    1 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment
    A Yahoo! User 3 hours ago Report Abuse
    If input price by $1 and your income if fixed, it means your wage is cut by $1

    If a pair of shoes made in China is $10 , while the same shoes made in US is $20, now the price of shoes go up by$15 due to the inflation of raw materials , while due to inflation, the price of the same shoes made in US is$23, and people will still buy shoes from China but with higherprice, which means US trade deficit with China will be even higher due to the effect of depreciation of Dollar, so in the end China will be benefit , and US consumers will be hurt
  • 4 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 4 users disliked this comment
    Zack Z 3 hours ago Report Abuse
    You've got to freaking kidding me!!!! Lower the minimum wage???? I can’t believe that Schiff hired this joker. He’s a washed up brokerage banker that couldn’t make a living selling Ninja loans. I’ve listed to him at other times. He’s a shill for ultra conservative values. I bet he pleasures himself kneeling down on the floor in front of Congress woman, Michelle Bachmans posters.
  • A Yahoo! User
    1 users liked this comment Please sign in to rate this comment up. Please sign in to rate this comment down. 0 users disliked this comment
    A Yahoo! User 3 hours ago Report Abuse
    David "the greatest living economist" or "the only economist" thinks QE and the effective devaluation of the US dollar are good, for 3 reason (quoted below). Here's why he is Wrong.

    China pegs its currency to the dollar and keeps it constantly devalued. They can "afford" to do this because (1) China is flush with cash, a rapidly growing economy, with an enormous continuing inflow of cash from their enormous trade surplus (with us, especially). In effect, they have more money coming in than they know what to do with; they can't expand their economy fast enough to use it all. So they are building up enormous reserves and holding large amounts of US debt. (2) They are still a poor country, with low living standards, a vast resource of "slave labor" and abundant natural resources. Their devaluation is thus done from a position of strength: growing prosperity and an ever-expanding economic base (the central goal of their policy); their devaluation literally does them good, not harm, in these regards.

    The US, cannot mimic their strategy. We are now a large debtor nation, with an enormous trade deficit and a declining real economic base. We are still a wealthy nation and our high labor costs and expectations reflect this. We have a large drain of cash and wealth, not an influx, from trade. Whereas China has more money coming in than they know what to do with because they cannot spend it all fast enough, we do not know what to do with our dwindling money because we cannot compete with their low-cost economic advantages. Our devaluation is done from weakness not from strength: based on just printing money, debasing our currency, without the compensating influx of foreign cash (wealth), and without any real, rational economic growth strategy or prospects. We are shooting in the dark.

    So we print and devalue and our wealth declines. China prints and devalues and continues to gain wealth and a powerful economic base. A path of QE has us locked in a struggle in which our strength is drained away while our competitors' strength actually grows. Guess where that must lead.

    So here are the reasons David's 3 principles are Wrong:

    "1, A devalued dollar makes our products cheaper and more competitive. This will bring growth and more employment." ?? ......

    The 2nd assertion does not follow from the 1st. For example, if Chinese goods cost 50% less than ours, and ours drop by even 11%, people still buy Chinese, even if Chinese prices were not pegged to ours by their own devaluations. Also, "growth and employment" is not necessarily in America and for Americans, and in fact will NOT be. The QE funds dumped on the economy will be borrowed NOT for use in the US , but to fund a carry trade mainly in Asia , and in fact an economic expansion there, where all of developing Asia strives to emulate China's model. In effect, our devaluation and consequent low interest rates will fund an economic expansion in Asia which provides even more China-like competition "against" us. Why shoot in the dark in America when you can't miss in Asia?

    Moreover, the 1st assertion does not follow from its premise. A devalued dollar does not lower the cost of foreign materials used or foreign labor. It raises them. Thus causing our products to be less competitive. And as already noted, our products will not really be more competitive ... China will still greatly undersell our prices.

Post a comment

Sign in to post a comment, or Sign up for a free account.
Quotes delayed, except where indicated otherwise. Delay times are 15 mins for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges.

Quotes and other information supplied by independent providers identified on the Yahoo! Finance partner page. Quotes are updated automatically, but will be turned off after 25 minutes of inactivity. Quotes are delayed at least 15 minutes for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges. Real-Time continuous streaming quotes are available through our premium service. You may turn streaming quotes on or off. Fundamental company data provided by Capital IQ. Financials data provided by Edgar Online. Historical chart data and daily updates provided by Commodity Systems, Inc. (CSI). International historical chart data, daily updates, fund summary, fund performance, dividend data and Morningstar Index data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Analyst estimates data provided by Thomson Financial Network. All data provided by Thomson Financial Network is based solely upon research information provided by third party analysts. Yahoo! has not reviewed, and in no way endorses the validity of such data. Yahoo! and ThomsonFN shall not be liable for any actions taken in reliance thereon. All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Neither Yahoo! nor any of independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. By accessing the Yahoo! site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.