Rising jobless claims add to worries about recovery
Thursday, April 15th 2010, 10:00 AM
The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless aid soared last week as the backlog from the Easter holiday was processed, adding to worries about the economic recovery, while U.S. industrial output rose less than expected in March.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 24,000 -- the largest increase in two months -- to a seasonally adjusted 484,000, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Markets had expected a dip to 440,000.
"Everything on the manufacturing side is clearly pointing to an acceleration," said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors in New York.
"The consumer side, the retail sales data we saw yesterday was off the charts. So there is no reason for me to believe that the labor market has organically turned sour."
In separate data, U.S. industrial production rose 0.1 percent in March. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a gain of 0.7 percent.
Another report showed expansion in New York state manufacturing rose to a six-month high. The New York Federal Reserve's "Empire State" general business conditions index rose to 31.86 in April, the highest since October and up from 22.86 in March. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a figure of 24.00.
Factory activity in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region, meanwhile, grew in April, to its highest since December 2009.
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank said its business activity index rose to 20.2 in April from the March reading of 18.9. Economists had expected a reading of 20.0.
"Both the Philly and N.Y. Fed reports show improving manufacturing and business conditions. That's consistent with our expectations of a moderate recovery," said Robert Dye, senior economist with PNC Financial Services in Pittsburgh.
U.S. stocks were mixed with the Dow industrials .DJI down slightly, with the rise in jobless claims adding pressure to indexes. U.S. Treasury debt prices were steady to slightly lower. The U.S. dollar was up versus the euro and yen.
SEASONAL FACTORS
U.S. industrial production was held back by a drop in utilities output as heating demand fell, the Federal Reserve data showed. Capacity utilization, a closely watched measure of slack in the economy, rose to 73.2 percent from 73.0, although that was still 7.4 percentage points below the 1972-2009 average.
"The sluggish headline was largely the result of a drop in utility output which was a function of the (warm) weather, rather than economic fundamentals," said Michael Moran, chief economist at Daiwa Securities America in New York
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