Advanced Stats for Individual Players

Win Probability Added, Expected Points Added, Success Rate, and more for every skill player since 2000. Find out who really made a difference for their team when it mattered most, by position or by team:

Win Probability Graphs for All Games Since 2000

Check out the Win Probability graphs and play-by-play of your favorite team's biggest comebacks and most exciting games. Browse the archive for previous years or the current season by week:

Feb 10, 2007

Contact / FAQ

You can contact Brian by email at hatch113@comcast.net. Questions about the content of the posts are best as comments. All comments get read, and any with questions usually get a quick response.

Note: In recent months I've been amazed at the overwhelming response this site has received. I appreciate all the feedback. Please keep it coming--the good and the "constructive." While I don't want to discourage anyone from writing me, I'd like to encourage everyone to use the site comments feature for any items you think might be of interest to other readers. You may get a answer to your question quicker from another reader than from me. Also, my spam filter has been trapping some emails lately, so I apologize if you haven't received a response. But that's another good reason to use the site comments feature.

FAQ

Where did you get your data?

Most of my team data comes from open online sources such as espn.com, nfl.com, myway.com, and yahoo.com. It's easy for anyone to grab whatever they're interested in from those sites.

My play-by-play data comes from a source that's not publicly available, and at this time I regret that I cannot share it. However, I am working hard to develop a way to spread the wealth. One of my biggest goals is to help create a larger, more open, and more collaborative community for football research.


How can I advertise on your site?

Sorry. For now, I am declining offers for advertising and other for-profit arrangements and partnerships. I'm keeping the site purely non-commercial. I appreciate each offer, and I may reconsider in the future. However, anyone can syndicate or quote from my articles as often as they like. All that is required is full, conspicuous attribution with a link to advancednflstats.com.


Why don't you do predictions Against The Spread (ATS)?

While I don't object to gambling, it doesn't really interest me. I realize a lot of football fans are interested in it, and I'm happy if anything here helps inform fans of all kinds. I do however use Vegas odds and spreads as consensus yardsticks for my own straight-up models, and sometimes it's fun to see if some math can beat "the system." I just lack that gene for risk, and cheering for my favorite team is excitement enough for me.


What's it like to fly an F/A-18 Hornet?

Exhilarating. And to paraphrase Greg Maddux, chicks dig the sonic boom. Actually, the best way I ever heard someone describe flying a fighter plane was this: It's like simultaneously racing in the Indianapolis 500 while playing a video game and holding two telephone conversations...all while people are shooting at you. Then the hard part begins. Landing on a pitching carrier deck takes a lot of concentration. It takes a lot of teamwork too, from thousands of brave sailors and everyone else who supports them. I was very fortunate to be part of such a great organization as the United States Navy.

I really miss it, but the night traps I can live without!